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Malta Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC

0 – 2 Full time

43′A. Zammit
45′B. Paiber
46′J. BusuttilFernandinho
46′Rafa SantosK. Reid
46′KaduJ. Vassallo
54′E. Mbende
59′R. PrsaP. Sekulovic
66′P. Sekulovic
67′A. GarziaJefferson Vinicius
67′A. ZammitK. Ewurum
70′Birkirkara
72′AmarildoL. Pahama
74′P. Sekulovic
76′Birkirkara
79′M. Morello
82′B. GomesAlex Tanque
82′M. MorelloM. Ellul
83′Fernandinho
90′Birkirkara

Referee: A. Johnson

Birkirkara 30%
Draw 30%
Valletta FC 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Birkirkara vs Valletta FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBirkirkaraDrawValletta FC
Model28.8%31.0%40.3%
Market30.8%29.5%39.7%
Final30.3%29.9%39.9%
Edge-0.5%+0.4%+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Valletta FC

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Birkirkara ↓ / Valletta FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Birkirkara and Valletta FC expected goals

Birkirkara 1.23
Valletta FC 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.27

Birkirkara and Valletta FC attack and defence ratings

Birkirkara

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Valletta FC

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC: result vs prediction

Birkirkara 0 – 2 Valletta FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Malta Premier League

Before and after this match

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Valletta FC 39.9% 2.51 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.3% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Birkirkara30.3%
Draw29.9%
Valletta FC39.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.1%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)69.7%
Handicap -1Valletta FC win11.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss70.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-011.6%
0-111.6%

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC stats

Birkirkara and Valletta FC recent form

newest first
Birkirkara WDLLWW
Valletta FC WDWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Birkirkara and Valletta FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Birkirkara record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Valletta FC record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Birkirkara wins 4Draws 2Valletta FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Valletta FCBirkirkaraFA Trophy3-1
2026-02-08BirkirkaraValletta FCMalta Premier League1-0
2026-01-07Valletta FCBirkirkaraMalta Premier League2-0
2025-08-16Valletta FCBirkirkaraMalta Premier League0-0
2025-03-05BirkirkaraValletta FCFA Trophy3-1
2024-02-09Valletta FCBirkirkaraPremier League0-1
2023-09-27BirkirkaraValletta FCPremier League1-1
2023-02-05Valletta FCBirkirkaraPremier League1-1
2022-10-02BirkirkaraValletta FCPremier League3-0
2022-03-12BirkirkaraValletta FCPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Birkirkara vs Valletta FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.8%, draw 29.5%, away 39.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.97 3.04 2.26
Bet365 2.90 3.20 2.15
BetVictor 2.90 3.20 2.30
Betano 3.00 3.10 2.32
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.20
Dafabet 3.05 3.15 2.32
Marathonbet 2.89 3.04 2.24
Pinnacle 2.95 3.01 2.31
William Hill 3.00 2.90 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.97 ▼ -0.02
X 3.10 ▼ -0.10
2 2.30 ▲ +0.12

4 snapshots recorded, from .