Hamrun Spartans
vs
Birzebbuga
0 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | J. Mendoza | ||
| 41′ | M. Guillaumier | ||
| 46′ | EmersonK. Scicluna | ||
| 52′ | O. Bjelicic | ||
| 54′ | K. BondinS. Dimech | ||
| 54′ | L. RiascosP. Tomaselli | ||
| 64′ | M. Caua de Aguiar AlvesD. Ceter | ||
| 65′ | G. Costa GoncalvesS. Tokic | ||
| 71′ | O. BjelicicL. Villela | ||
| 87′ | M. TrottaS. Attard | ||
| 88′ | Gustavo Felipe | ||
| 89′ | A. Coric | ||
| 90′ | J. MendozaG. Cooper | ||
| 90′ | Gustavo FelipeD. Zerafa |
Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga
| Probability | Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Birzebbuga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 22.7% | 12.0% |
| Market | 11.7% | 19.9% | 68.4% |
| Final | 25.1% | 20.6% | 54.3% |
| Edge | +53.5% | +2.9% | -56.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hamrun Spartans and Birzebbuga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Hamrun Spartans and Birzebbuga attack and defence ratings
Hamrun Spartans
Birzebbuga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga: result vs prediction
Hamrun Spartans 0 – 2 Birzebbuga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birzebbuga | 54.3% | 1.84 | -56.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hamrun Spartans | 25.1% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Birzebbuga | 54.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Birzebbuga win | 3.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 8.5% | |
| Loss | 88.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga stats
Hamrun Spartans and Birzebbuga recent form
| Hamrun Spartans |
WDLLLD |
| Birzebbuga |
LLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hamrun Spartans vs Birzebbuga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.7%, draw 19.9%, away 68.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.20 | 4.85 | 1.27 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 5.37 | 4.05 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.40 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .