Zabbar St. Patrick
vs
Hamrun Spartans
1 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | M. Fontanella | ||
| 30′ | M. Caua de Aguiar Alves | ||
| 46′ | Vinicius KanuP. F. Gouhon | ||
| 51′ | Joao Mafra | ||
| 61′ | R. CamenzuliS. Attard | ||
| 67′ | J. PisaniS. Magri | ||
| 74′ | M. Trotta | ||
| 79′ | A. CoricS. Xerri | ||
| 79′ | M. Caua de Aguiar AlvesD. Ceter | ||
| 80′ | J. Grech | ||
| 86′ | C. M'Mombwa | ||
| 88′ | C. M'MombwaT. Melillo | ||
| 88′ | J. MicallefA. Ellard | ||
| 88′ | M. TrottaV. Polito | ||
| 90′ | Z. LeonardiK. Fenech |
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans
| Probability | Zabbar St. Patrick | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.6% | 25.4% | 23.0% |
| Market | 21.3% | 25.1% | 53.6% |
| Final | 28.9% | 25.1% | 46.0% |
| Edge | +30.3% | +0.3% | -30.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zabbar St. Patrick and Hamrun Spartans expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Zabbar St. Patrick and Hamrun Spartans attack and defence ratings
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans: result vs prediction
Zabbar St. Patrick 1 – 2 Hamrun Spartans
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hamrun Spartans | 46.0% | 2.17 | -30.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 28.9% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Hamrun Spartans | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hamrun Spartans win | 9.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.7% | |
| Loss | 77.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.6% |
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans stats
Zabbar St. Patrick and Hamrun Spartans recent form
| Zabbar St. Patrick |
DWLWLW |
| Hamrun Spartans |
DLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Hamrun Spartans | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hamrun Spartans | Malta Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hamrun Spartans | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-05 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hamrun Spartans | FA Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Hamrun Spartans | Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.3%, draw 25.1%, away 53.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38 | 3.70 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .