Sliema Wanderers
vs
Birkirkara
2 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | N. RoberthaN. Karelis | ||
| 30′ | J. Vassallo | ||
| 35′ | N. Karelis | ||
| 45′ | F. Sasere | ||
| 45′ | R. Polley | ||
| 53′ | I. Cojocaru | ||
| 66′ | T. Teuma | ||
| 67′ | A. Satariano | ||
| 71′ | Rafa SantosK. Reid | ||
| 71′ | A. GarziaJefferson Vinicius | ||
| 71′ | AmarildoL. Pahama | ||
| 74′ | I. CojocaruA. Overend | ||
| 82′ | Fernandinho | ||
| 85′ | T. TeumaB. Gambarte | ||
| 85′ | W. M. AlliM. Awad | ||
| 90′ | L. Pahama |
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara
| Probability | Sliema Wanderers | Draw | Birkirkara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 37.7% | 32.5% |
| Market | 35.9% | 28.8% | 35.2% |
| Final | 34.4% | 31.0% | 34.6% |
| Edge | -6.2% | +8.9% | -2.7% |
Why Birkirkara
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sliema Wanderers and Birkirkara expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
Sliema Wanderers and Birkirkara attack and defence ratings
Sliema Wanderers
Birkirkara
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara: result vs prediction
Sliema Wanderers 2 – 1 Birkirkara
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birkirkara | 34.6% | 2.89 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sliema Wanderers | 34.4% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Birkirkara | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.0% |
| No | 68.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Birkirkara win | 11.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.1% |
| 0-1 | 15.2% | |
| 1-0 | 14.3% |
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara stats
Sliema Wanderers and Birkirkara recent form
| Sliema Wanderers |
WLLLDD |
| Birkirkara |
LWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Birkirkara | Sliema Wanderers | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-14 | Sliema Wanderers | Birkirkara | Malta Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Birkirkara | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Sliema Wanderers | Birkirkara | Malta Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Sliema Wanderers | Birkirkara | Malta Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Sliema Wanderers | Birkirkara | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Birkirkara | Sliema Wanderers | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Sliema Wanderers | Birkirkara | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Birkirkara | Sliema Wanderers | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-03 | Birkirkara | Sliema Wanderers | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 28.8%, away 35.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .