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Malta Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Hibernians vs Valletta FC

0 – 2 Full time

3′E. Mbende
26′O. N'Zi
45′A. SobczykMatos
46′ThaylorAlex Tanque
62′J. WahlingJ. Mickels
62′F. JankovicM. El Fanis
67′A. ZammitK. Ewurum
72′J. RoeJ. Degabriele
72′M. RomlingD. Bonnici
82′R. PrsaB. Paiber
84′B. Paiber
90′D. TavaresN. Micallef
90′M. EllulM. Morello

Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola

Hibernians 29%
Draw 28%
Valletta FC 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hibernians vs Valletta FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hibernians vs Valletta FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHiberniansDrawValletta FC
Model38.4%29.4%32.2%
Market26.1%27.5%46.4%
Final29.2%28.0%42.8%
Edge+12.3%+1.9%-14.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hibernians ↓ / Valletta FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Hibernians and Valletta FC expected goals

Hibernians 1.32
Valletta FC 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.52

Hibernians and Valletta FC attack and defence ratings

Hibernians

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Valletta FC

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hibernians vs Valletta FC: result vs prediction

Hibernians 0 – 2 Valletta FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Malta Premier League

Before and after this match

Hibernians vs Valletta FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Valletta FC 42.8% 2.33 -14.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.8% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hibernians29.2%
Draw28.0%
Valletta FC42.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.0%
Under 2.554.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.2%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)70.8%
Handicap -1Valletta FC win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss67.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-09.4%
0-09.4%

Hibernians vs Valletta FC stats

Hibernians and Valletta FC recent form

newest first
Hibernians DLWLWD
Valletta FC LWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hibernians vs Valletta FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Hibernians wins 5Draws 2Valletta FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28HiberniansValletta FCMalta Premier League1-1
2025-10-25Valletta FCHiberniansMalta Premier League1-0
2024-04-14HiberniansValletta FCPremier League2-2
2023-12-09Valletta FCHiberniansPremier League0-2
2022-12-17HiberniansValletta FCPremier League0-4
2022-08-21Valletta FCHiberniansPremier League1-1
2022-02-12Valletta FCHiberniansPremier League1-4
2021-10-24HiberniansValletta FCPremier League1-1
2021-02-07Valletta FCHiberniansPremier League1-4
2020-10-18HiberniansValletta FCPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hibernians vs Valletta FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.1%, draw 27.5%, away 46.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.60 3.30 1.91
1xBet 3.45 3.28 1.97
Bet365 3.10 3.30 2.00
BetVictor 3.60 3.30 1.95
Betano 3.50 3.30 2.00
Betfair 3.60 3.30 1.90
Dafabet 3.55 3.40 1.98
Marathonbet 3.38 3.26 1.96
Pinnacle 3.40 3.36 1.94
Superbet 3.55 3.40 1.95
Unibet 3.20 3.20 1.95
William Hill 3.10 3.10 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.48 ▲ +0.26
X 3.30 ▲ +0.10
2 1.96 ▼ -0.15

2 snapshots recorded, from .