Malta Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Hibernians
vs
Zabbar St. Patrick
1 – 1 Full time
Hibernians
30%
Draw
28%
Zabbar St. Patrick
42%
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick
| Probability | Hibernians | Draw | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 28.2% | 42.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.8% | 28.2% | 42.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zabbar St. Patrick
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Hibernians and Zabbar St. Patrick expected goals
Hibernians
1.20
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.46
Total expected goals: 2.67
Hibernians and Zabbar St. Patrick attack and defence ratings
Hibernians
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Zabbar St. Patrick
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick: result vs prediction
Hibernians 1 – 1 Zabbar St. Patrick
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernians | 29.8% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 42.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zabbar St. Patrick win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.0% |
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick stats
Hibernians and Zabbar St. Patrick recent form
| Hibernians |
LWLWDL |
| Zabbar St. Patrick |
WLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Hibernians wins
3Draws
2Zabbar St. Patrick wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hibernians | Malta Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Hibernians | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Hibernians | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hibernians | Malta Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-01 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hibernians | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-15 | Hibernians | Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2024-09-28 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Hibernians | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.