Hibernians
vs
Gzira United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hibernians
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Hibernians vs Gzira United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hibernians vs Gzira United
| Probability | Hibernians | Draw | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.7% | 31.5% | 24.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.7% | 31.5% | 24.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hibernians
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.88.
Hibernians vs Gzira United match preview
Hibernians face Gzira United in an upcoming Malta Premier League match, with Hibernians holding a 43% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Hibernians stand at 1.25, while Gzira United is projected to score 0.89. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance of occurring.
Both teams have struggled in recent matches, with Hibernians recording a series of draws and losses, while Gzira United has also not won in their last six games. In their last three encounters, Hibernians have secured two victories against Gzira United, who managed one win. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 43%, and there is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hibernians and Gzira United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Hibernians and Gzira United attack and defence ratings
Hibernians
Gzira United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hibernians vs Gzira United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernians | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernians | 43.7% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Gzira United | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hibernians win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Hibernians vs Gzira United stats
Hibernians and Gzira United recent form
| Hibernians |
DLDLDL |
| Gzira United |
DDDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hibernians and Gzira United season so far
Hibernians record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Gzira United record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hibernians vs Gzira United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Gzira United | Hibernians | Malta Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Hibernians | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Hibernians | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 5-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.