Zabbar St. Patrick
vs
Sliema Wanderers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sliema Wanderers
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers
| Probability | Zabbar St. Patrick | Draw | Sliema Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 30.2% | 35.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.8% | 30.2% | 35.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sliema Wanderers
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers match preview
Zabbar St. Patrick faces Sliema Wanderers in the Malta Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 21, 2026. According to our model, Zabbar St. Patrick has a 32% chance of winning, while Sliema Wanderers holds a 37% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, predicted at 10%. Expected goals are 1.12 for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.23 for Sliema Wanderers, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form shows Zabbar St. Patrick with a record of L-L-D-L-D-W, while Sliema Wanderers has performed better with D-D-W-W-W-L. In their last three encounters, Zabbar St. Patrick has not secured a win, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses against Sliema Wanderers. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 42%, and both teams scoring is expected at 49%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Zabbar St. Patrick
Sliema Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sliema Wanderers | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 34.8% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Sliema Wanderers | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sliema Wanderers win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-1 | 9.5% |
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers stats
Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers recent form
| Zabbar St. Patrick |
LLDLDW |
| Sliema Wanderers |
LDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers season so far
Zabbar St. Patrick record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sliema Wanderers record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Sliema Wanderers | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.