NM Cupen Β· Β·Round of 32

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bodo/Glimt

0 – 3 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.12 vs 0.78.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sandnes ULF 5%
Draw 11%
Bodo/Glimt 84%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bodo/Glimt wins
84%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 3
11% of simulated outcomes

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySandnes ULFDrawBodo/Glimt
Model5.0%11.3%83.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final5.0%11.3%83.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Bodo/Glimt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.12 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt match preview

In the upcoming NM Cupen match, Sandnes ULF faces a challenging encounter against Bodo/Glimt. According to our model, Sandnes ULF has a 5% probability of winning, while Bodo/Glimt is favored with an 84% chance. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-3, occurring with an 11% probability. The expected goals for Sandnes ULF stand at 0.78, contrasting sharply with Bodo/Glimt's 3.12.

Recent form shows Sandnes ULF struggling with one win in their last six matches, while Bodo/Glimt has found momentum, winning four of their last six. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 75%, and both teams scoring sits at 51%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Sandnes ULF has one win and one draw against Bodo/Glimt, who has yet to secure a victory.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sandnes ULF ↓ / Bodo/Glimt β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 17% 1 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Sandnes ULF and Bodo/Glimt expected goals

Sandnes ULF 0.78
Bodo/Glimt 3.12

Total expected goals: 3.90

Sandnes ULF and Bodo/Glimt attack and defence ratings

Sandnes ULF

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Bodo/Glimt

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bodo/Glimt 83.7% 1.20 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.7% 1.34 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 95.0% 1.05 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Bodo/Glimt win 65.3% 1.53 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sandnes ULF5.0%
Draw11.3%
Bodo/Glimt83.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.7%
Under 2.525.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)16.3%
12 (either side)88.7%
X2 (draw or away)95.0%
Handicap -1Bodo/Glimt win65.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss17.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-310.7%
0-210.1%
0-48.4%

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt stats

Sandnes ULF and Bodo/Glimt recent form

newest first
Sandnes ULF WLLDDL
Bodo/Glimt LLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Sandnes ULF wins 1Draws 0Bodo/Glimt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-09-06Bodo/GlimtSandnes ULF1. Division0-0
2017-05-13Sandnes ULFBodo/Glimt1. Division3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/Glimt odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Bodo/Glimt Predicted score 0 – 3 Low Bet Now
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