Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Sporting de Lourel
vs
Angrense
5 – 0 Full time
Sporting de Lourel
66%
Draw
18%
Angrense
16%
Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense
| Probability | Sporting de Lourel | Draw | Angrense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting de Lourel
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.34.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Sporting de Lourel and Angrense expected goals
Sporting de Lourel
2.70
Angrense
1.34
Total expected goals: 4.03
Sporting de Lourel and Angrense attack and defence ratings
Sporting de Lourel
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Angrense
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.58 +58%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense: result vs prediction
Sporting de Lourel 5 – 0 Angrense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting de Lourel | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting de Lourel win | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting de Lourel | 65.7% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| Angrense | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% |
| No | 31.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting de Lourel win | 45.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 34.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
Sporting de Lourel vs Angrense stats
Sporting de Lourel and Angrense recent form
| Sporting de Lourel |
no matches on record |
| Angrense |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.