Inter
vs
Como
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Inter is the favourite, not a value bet.
Inter vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Como
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.8% | 21.7% | 35.4% |
| Market | 54.1% | 22.7% | 23.2% |
| Final | 51.3% | 22.4% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -2.8% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.0% per unit staked (our 51.3% × 1.93 − 1).
Inter vs Como match preview
Inter faces Como in Serie A with a probability of winning set at 51%, while Como has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance that both teams will score. Expected goals for Inter stand at 2.33, compared to Como's 2.13, highlighting a potentially competitive match.
In terms of recent form, Inter has recorded a mixed bag of results with one win in their last six matches, while Como has enjoyed a stronger run, winning four of their last six. Historically, Inter has dominated this fixture, winning five of the last six encounters, with Como yet to secure a victory. The confidence grade for this match is rated as A.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.82
Inter and Como attack and defence ratings
Inter
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 51.3% | 1.95 | -2.8% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 51.3% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Como | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.7% |
| No | 19.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.2% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.1% |
| 1-1 | 6.9% | |
| 2-1 | 6.7% |
Inter vs Como stats
Inter and Como recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter and Como season so far
Inter record
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Como record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter vs Como head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Inter | Como | Coppa Italia | 3-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Como | Inter | Serie A | 3-4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Como | Inter | Coppa Italia | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Inter | Como | Serie A | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Como | Inter | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-23 | Inter | Como | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 23.1%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 4.32 | 3.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.20 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 4.20 | 3.84 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 4.17 | 3.68 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.54 | 3.33 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .