Antequera
vs
Águilas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Águilas
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Antequera vs Águilas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antequera vs Águilas
| Probability | Antequera | Draw | Águilas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 28.0% | 44.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.3% | 28.0% | 44.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Águilas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.14.
Antequera vs Águilas match preview
Antequera faces Águilas in the Copa del Rey with a kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Antequera has a 27% probability of winning, while Águilas is favored at 45%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 54% likelihood, and there is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of expected goals, Antequera is projected to score 1.14, while Águilas is expected to net 1.52. Antequera's recent form shows a draw, while Águilas comes off a loss. The overall confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antequera and Águilas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Antequera and Águilas attack and defence ratings
Antequera
Águilas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Antequera vs Águilas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águilas | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antequera | 27.3% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Águilas | 44.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águilas win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 9.2% |
Antequera vs Águilas stats
Antequera and Águilas recent form
| Antequera |
D |
| Águilas |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.