Garuda Lions
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Copa del Rey · ·Round of 128

Coruxo vs Zamora

Garuda Lions Prediction: Zamora

0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

Bet on Zamora
Coruxo 22%
Draw 26%
Zamora 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Zamora wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
54%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Coruxo vs Zamora overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coruxo vs Zamora

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCoruxoDrawZamora
Model21.8%26.2%52.1%
Market———
Final21.8%26.2%52.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Zamora

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.04.

Coruxo vs Zamora match preview

In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Coruxo faces Zamora with probabilities indicating a 22% chance for Coruxo to win, a 26% chance for a draw, and a 52% likelihood of a Zamora victory. The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability. The expected goals for Coruxo stand at 1.04, while Zamora is forecasted to score 1.71.

Recent form shows Zamora with a draw and a win in their last two matches, while Coruxo's recent performance is not available. The model suggests a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability that both teams will score, indicating a potentially competitive encounter. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coruxo ↓ / Zamora → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Coruxo and Zamora expected goals

Coruxo 1.04
Zamora 1.71

Total expected goals: 2.75

Coruxo and Zamora attack and defence ratings

Coruxo

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Zamora

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Coruxo vs Zamora markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zamora 52.1% 1.92 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.8% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.9% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coruxo21.8%
Draw26.2%
Zamora52.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.8%
Under 2.548.2%
Both teams to scoreYes54.0%
No46.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.9%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)78.2%
Handicap -1Zamora win29.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss47.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
0-19.8%
1-29.7%
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Coruxo vs Zamora stats

Coruxo and Zamora recent form

newest first
Coruxo no matches on record
Zamora DW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Coruxo vs Zamora head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Coruxo vs Zamora odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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Prediction snapshot 2 Zamora Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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