Don Benito
vs
Extremadura 1924
Garuda Lions Prediction: Extremadura 1924
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924
| Probability | Don Benito | Draw | Extremadura 1924 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.4% | 24.3% | 48.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.4% | 24.3% | 48.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Extremadura 1924
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Don Benito faces Extremadura 1924 on October 27, 2026. According to our model, Don Benito has a 27% chance of winning, while Extremadura 1924 is favored with a 48% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Extremadura 1924, with an expected goals tally of 1.40 for Don Benito and 1.90 for Extremadura 1924.
Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, with a 65% probability of both teams scoring and a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. Don Benito's recent form shows a loss, while Extremadura 1924 has a mixed record with one win and two losses in their last three games. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Don Benito and Extremadura 1924 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Don Benito and Extremadura 1924 attack and defence ratings
Don Benito
Extremadura 1924
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa
- Llanera v Ponferradina — match page
- RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas — team news & stats
- Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes
- Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda — match page
- Atlético Paso vs Cordoba — team news & stats
- Tudelano v Zaragoza — match page
- Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano — team news & stats
Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Extremadura 1924 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Don Benito | 27.4% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Extremadura 1924 | 48.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.0% |
| No | 35.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Extremadura 1924 win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 6.9% |
Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 stats
Don Benito and Extremadura 1924 recent form
| Don Benito |
L |
| Extremadura 1924 |
LWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.