Manresa
vs
Sant Andreu
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sant Andreu
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Manresa vs Sant Andreu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manresa vs Sant Andreu
| Probability | Manresa | Draw | Sant Andreu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.3% | 26.2% | 49.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.3% | 26.2% | 49.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sant Andreu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.14.
Manresa vs Sant Andreu match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Manresa faces Sant Andreu with kickoff scheduled for October 27, 2026. According to our model, Manresa has a 24% chance of winning, while Sant Andreu is favored with a 50% probability. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2 in favor of Sant Andreu, with a 10% likelihood. The expected goals for Manresa stand at 1.14, compared to 1.71 for Sant Andreu.
Recent form shows Sant Andreu with a draw, a win, a loss, and another win in their last four matches. The model indicates a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability that both teams will score. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manresa and Sant Andreu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Manresa and Sant Andreu attack and defence ratings
Manresa
Sant Andreu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Sestao River v Espanyol — match page
- Calamocha vs Europa Fc — team news & stats
- Castellonense vs Almeria — team news & stats
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa
- Llanera v Ponferradina — match page
- RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas — team news & stats
- Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes
- Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda — match page
Manresa vs Sant Andreu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sant Andreu | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manresa | 24.3% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Sant Andreu | 49.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sant Andreu win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Manresa vs Sant Andreu stats
Manresa and Sant Andreu recent form
| Manresa | no matches on record |
| Sant Andreu |
DWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.