Mijas Las Lagunas
vs
Real Jaén
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mijas Las Lagunas
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén
| Probability | Mijas Las Lagunas | Draw | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 25.6% | 36.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.2% | 25.6% | 36.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén match preview
Mijas Las Lagunas faces Real Jaén in the Copa del Rey with a predicted probability of 38% for a home win, while Real Jaén stands at 36% for victory and a draw is at 26%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 2-1, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 64%, and there is a 62% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of expected goals, Mijas Las Lagunas is forecasted to score 1.62, while Real Jaén is projected at 1.57. Real Jaén's recent form shows two consecutive losses, while Mijas Las Lagunas' recent performance data is not available. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén attack and defence ratings
Mijas Las Lagunas
Real Jaén
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Trival Valderas v Leganes — match page
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Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 38.2% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Real Jaén | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mijas Las Lagunas win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén stats
Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén recent form
| Mijas Las Lagunas | no matches on record |
| Real Jaén |
LL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.