Tarancón
vs
Levante
Garuda Lions Prediction: Levante
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.33.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Levante is the favourite, not a value bet.
Tarancón vs Levante overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tarancón vs Levante
| Probability | Tarancón | Draw | Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 25.6% | 46.3% |
| Market | 6.1% | 10.7% | 83.2% |
| Final | 11.6% | 14.4% | 74.0% |
| Edge | +5.5% | +3.7% | -9.2% |
Why Levante
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.33.
Best available price on the pick: 1.16, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.2% per unit staked (our 74.0% × 1.16 − 1).
Tarancón vs Levante match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Tarancón faces Levante, with the probabilities indicating a strong advantage for Levante at 73% to win, compared to Tarancón's 12% and a draw at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 9% chance of occurring. The expected goals are 1.45 for Tarancón and 1.98 for Levante, suggesting a competitive match.
Both teams are projected to score, with a 67% likelihood for each team finding the net. Levante's recent form shows two losses, one win, and two draws, indicating some inconsistency, while Tarancón's recent performance data is not available. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at B, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tarancón and Levante expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Tarancón and Levante attack and defence ratings
Tarancón
Levante
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tarancón vs Levante markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 74.0% | 1.35 | -9.2% | 1.16 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tarancón | 11.6% |
| Draw | 14.4% | |
| Levante | 74.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Levante win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Tarancón vs Levante stats
Tarancón and Levante recent form
| Tarancón |
no matches on record |
| Levante |
DLLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tarancón vs Levante head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Tarancón vs Levante odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.2%, draw 11.1%, away 82.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 15.00 | 8.30 | 1.12 |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 9.50 | 1.12 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 8.00 | 1.11 |
| Betano | 12.50 | 6.80 | 1.16 |
| Betfair | 23.00 | 11.00 | 1.08 |
| Dafabet | 18.00 | 9.80 | 1.13 |
| Marathonbet | 15.25 | 8.30 | 1.12 |
| Pinnacle | 13.79 | 8.20 | 1.09 |
| SBO | 11.56 | 7.24 | 1.10 |
| William Hill | 15.00 | 9.00 | 1.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .