Tarancón
vs
Levante
Garuda Lions Prediction: Levante
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Tarancón vs Levante overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tarancón vs Levante
| Probability | Tarancón | Draw | Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 23.7% | 46.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.0% | 23.7% | 46.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Levante
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.55.
Tarancón vs Levante match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Tarancón faces Levante with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Levante holds a 50% probability of winning, while Tarancón has a 28% chance, and a draw stands at 23%. The expected goals for Tarancón are 1.56, compared to Levante's 2.12, indicating a likely advantage for the visitors.
The most probable scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a strong expectation for goals, with 71% probability for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score. Levante's recent form shows mixed results with two draws and two losses in their last five matches, while Tarancón's recent performance is not available.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tarancón and Levante expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Tarancón and Levante attack and defence ratings
Tarancón
Levante
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tarancón vs Levante markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levante | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tarancón | 30.0% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Levante | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Levante win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Tarancón vs Levante stats
Tarancón and Levante recent form
| Tarancón | no matches on record |
| Levante |
DDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.