Anaitasuna
vs
Alaves
Garuda Lions Prediction: Anaitasuna
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Anaitasuna vs Alaves overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anaitasuna vs Alaves
| Probability | Anaitasuna | Draw | Alaves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.6% | 25.2% | 34.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.6% | 25.2% | 34.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Anaitasuna vs Alaves match preview
Anaitasuna enters this Copa del Rey matchup with a strong recent form, winning their last two matches. They are given a 41% probability of winning against Alaves, who have struggled lately with a record of one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six games. The expected goals for Anaitasuna stand at 1.70, while Alaves is projected to score 1.54.
The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Anaitasuna, with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score, with a 65% probability. The confidence grade for this prediction is rated as B.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anaitasuna and Alaves expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
Anaitasuna and Alaves attack and defence ratings
Anaitasuna
Alaves
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Anaitasuna vs Alaves markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anaitasuna | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anaitasuna | 40.6% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Alaves | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Anaitasuna win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Anaitasuna vs Alaves stats
Anaitasuna and Alaves recent form
| Anaitasuna | WW |
| Alaves |
LDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.