Tavernes
vs
Valencia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Valencia
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Tavernes vs Valencia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tavernes vs Valencia
| Probability | Tavernes | Draw | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 31.0% | 37.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.1% | 31.0% | 37.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Valencia
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Tavernes vs Valencia match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Tavernes faces Valencia with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Tavernes has a 31% chance of winning, while Valencia holds a 38% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-1, occurring with an 11% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Tavernes will score 1.08, compared to Valencia's 1.22.
Recent form indicates that Tavernes has drawn their last two matches, while Valencia's performance has been mixed, with one win and four losses in their last six games. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40%, and both teams to score stands at 48%. Overall, the confidence grade for this matchup is B, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the forecasts.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tavernes and Valencia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Tavernes and Valencia attack and defence ratings
Tavernes
Valencia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tavernes vs Valencia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tavernes | 31.1% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Valencia | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valencia win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.4% | |
| 0-1 | 11.0% |
Tavernes vs Valencia stats
Tavernes and Valencia recent form
| Tavernes | DD |
| Valencia |
DLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.