Peña Sport
vs
Huesca
Garuda Lions Prediction: Huesca
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Peña Sport vs Huesca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peña Sport vs Huesca
| Probability | Peña Sport | Draw | Huesca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 28.9% | 36.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.0% | 28.9% | 36.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Peña Sport vs Huesca match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Peña Sport faces Huesca with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Peña Sport has a 35% chance of winning, while Huesca is slightly favored at 36%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-1, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to have a similar performance in terms of expected goals, with Peña Sport at 1.29 and Huesca at 1.31.
Huesca's recent form shows mixed results with a record of D-L-D-L-L-W. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 48%, while the likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 54%. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Peña Sport and Huesca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Peña Sport and Huesca attack and defence ratings
Peña Sport
Huesca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Peña Sport vs Huesca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huesca | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peña Sport | 35.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Huesca | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Huesca win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Peña Sport vs Huesca stats
Peña Sport and Huesca recent form
| Peña Sport | no matches on record |
| Huesca |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.