Portugalete
vs
Real Unión
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Unión
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Portugalete vs Real Unión overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portugalete vs Real Unión
| Probability | Portugalete | Draw | Real Unión |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.9% | 24.0% | 57.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.9% | 24.0% | 57.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Real Unión
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.04.
Portugalete vs Real Unión match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Portugalete faces Real Unión with a kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Portugalete has a 19% chance of winning, while Real Unión is favored with a 57% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Expected goals for Portugalete stand at 1.04, compared to Real Unión's 1.93.
Additionally, there is a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score, with a 56% probability. Portugalete's recent form shows a loss followed by a win, while Real Unión's form is not available for analysis. The overall confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portugalete and Real Unión expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Portugalete and Real Unión attack and defence ratings
Portugalete
Real Unión
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Portugalete vs Real Unión markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Unión | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portugalete | 18.9% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Real Unión | 57.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Unión win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Portugalete vs Real Unión stats
Portugalete and Real Unión recent form
| Portugalete |
LW |
| Real Unión | no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.