Badajoz
vs
Tenerife
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tenerife
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Badajoz vs Tenerife overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Badajoz vs Tenerife
| Probability | Badajoz | Draw | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.6% | 27.1% | 46.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.6% | 27.1% | 46.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tenerife
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.16.
Badajoz vs Tenerife match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Badajoz faces Tenerife with a kickoff scheduled for 19:00 UTC on October 28, 2026. According to our model, Tenerife holds a 46% chance of winning, while both Badajoz and a draw are at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Badajoz stand at 1.16, while Tenerife is projected at 1.60.
Recent form indicates that Tenerife has had a mixed performance with results of D-L-D-L-W-D. Our model suggests a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the outcomes.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Badajoz and Tenerife expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Badajoz and Tenerife attack and defence ratings
Badajoz
Tenerife
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Numancia vs Real Oviedo — team news & stats
- Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés
- Covadonga vs Real Valladolid — team news & stats
- Alcoyano vs Mallorca
- Trival Valderas v Leganes — match page
- Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete — team news & stats
- Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén
- Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense — match page
Before and after this match
Badajoz vs Tenerife markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tenerife | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Badajoz | 26.6% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Tenerife | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tenerife win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.9% |
Badajoz vs Tenerife stats
Badajoz and Tenerife recent form
| Badajoz | no matches on record |
| Tenerife |
DLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.