Reddis
vs
Barakaldo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barakaldo
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Reddis vs Barakaldo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reddis vs Barakaldo
| Probability | Reddis | Draw | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.4% | 23.0% | 59.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.4% | 23.0% | 59.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Barakaldo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Reddis vs Barakaldo match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Reddis faces Barakaldo with probabilities indicating a challenging encounter for the home side. According to our model, Reddis has a 17% chance of winning, while Barakaldo is favored at 60%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Barakaldo, with expected goals of 1.02 for Reddis and 2.02 for Barakaldo.
Both teams exhibit contrasting recent form, with Reddis recording a loss followed by a draw, while Barakaldo recently secured a win after a loss. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 59%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 56%. This match presents an intriguing dynamic as both teams aim to advance in the tournament.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Reddis and Barakaldo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Reddis and Barakaldo attack and defence ratings
Reddis
Barakaldo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Reddis vs Barakaldo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barakaldo | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reddis | 17.4% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Barakaldo | 59.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barakaldo win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 1-2 | 10.0% | |
| 0-2 | 9.8% |
Reddis vs Barakaldo stats
Reddis and Barakaldo recent form
| Reddis |
LD |
| Barakaldo |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.