Salamanca UDS
vs
Celta Vigo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Celta Vigo
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo
| Probability | Salamanca UDS | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.1% | 24.4% | 58.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.1% | 24.4% | 58.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Celta Vigo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.92.
Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo match preview
Salamanca UDS faces Celta Vigo in the Copa del Rey, with the match kicking off on October 28, 2026. According to our model, Salamanca UDS has a 16% chance of winning, while Celta Vigo is favored at 60%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which has an 11% probability. Expected goals are 0.89 for Salamanca UDS and 1.90 for Celta Vigo, indicating a significant disparity in attacking potential.
Recent form shows Salamanca UDS with a loss followed by a win, while Celta Vigo has drawn twice and lost once in their last six matches. The model suggests a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance for both teams to score. In their last encounter, Celta Vigo emerged victorious, maintaining a perfect record against Salamanca UDS.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salamanca UDS and Celta Vigo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Salamanca UDS and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings
Salamanca UDS
Celta Vigo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Numancia vs Real Oviedo — team news & stats
- Gimnástica Torrelavega v UD Ourense — match page
- Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena — team news & stats
- Cieza vs Granada
- Reddis v Barakaldo — match page
- Navalcarnero vs Real Betis — team news & stats
- Xerez v Cadiz — match page
- Tavernes vs Valencia — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salamanca UDS | 17.1% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Celta Vigo | 58.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celta Vigo win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 0-2 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.5% |
Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo stats
Salamanca UDS and Celta Vigo recent form
| Salamanca UDS |
LW |
| Celta Vigo |
LDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-03 | Salamanca UDS | Celta Vigo | Copa del Rey | 0-7 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.