Copa del Rey · ·Round of 128

SS Reyes vs CD Coria

Garuda Lions Prediction: CD Coria

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

SS Reyes 31%
Draw 26%
CD Coria 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance CD Coria wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

SS Reyes vs CD Coria overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SS Reyes vs CD Coria

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySS ReyesDrawCD Coria
Model30.7%25.9%43.4%
Market———
Final30.7%25.9%43.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

SS Reyes vs CD Coria match preview

In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, SS Reyes faces CD Coria on October 29, 2026. According to our model, SS Reyes has a 31% chance of winning, while CD Coria is favored with a 43% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for SS Reyes stand at 1.39, compared to CD Coria's 1.68.

Both teams have recently struggled, with both SS Reyes and CD Coria recording losses in their latest matches. Our model suggests a 59% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SS Reyes ↓ / CD Coria → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

SS Reyes and CD Coria expected goals

SS Reyes 1.39
CD Coria 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.07

SS Reyes and CD Coria attack and defence ratings

SS Reyes

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

CD Coria

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

SS Reyes vs CD Coria markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CD Coria 43.4% 2.30 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SS Reyes30.7%
Draw25.9%
CD Coria43.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.6%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)69.3%
Handicap -1CD Coria win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%

SS Reyes vs CD Coria stats

SS Reyes and CD Coria recent form

newest first
SS Reyes L
CD Coria L

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

SS Reyes vs CD Coria head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SS Reyes vs CD Coria odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 CD Coria Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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