Tudelano
vs
Zaragoza
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zaragoza
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Tudelano vs Zaragoza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tudelano vs Zaragoza
| Probability | Tudelano | Draw | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 28.6% | 46.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.5% | 28.6% | 46.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zaragoza
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.01.
Tudelano vs Zaragoza match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Tudelano faces Zaragoza with a kickoff scheduled for October 27, 2026. According to our model, Zaragoza holds a 47% probability of winning, while Tudelano has a 24% chance, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with an 11% probability. Expected goals for Tudelano are 1.01, compared to Zaragoza's 1.48.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Tudelano losing their last match, while Zaragoza has recorded a series of poor results, including five consecutive losses. Our model indicates a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% likelihood that both teams will score. The overall confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tudelano and Zaragoza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Tudelano and Zaragoza attack and defence ratings
Tudelano
Zaragoza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano — team news & stats
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Tudelano vs Zaragoza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zaragoza | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tudelano | 24.5% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Zaragoza | 46.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zaragoza win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Tudelano vs Zaragoza stats
Tudelano and Zaragoza recent form
| Tudelano |
L |
| Zaragoza |
LDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.