FC Cincinnati
vs
DC United
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Cincinnati
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
FC Cincinnati vs DC United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Cincinnati vs DC United
| Probability | FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 22.9% | 32.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.6% | 22.9% | 32.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Cincinnati
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.71.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United match preview
FC Cincinnati faces DC United in a matchup with FC Cincinnati holding a 59% probability of winning, while DC United stands at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of FC Cincinnati, which aligns with the high expectation for goals, as there is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance for both teams to score.
In terms of recent form, FC Cincinnati has recorded two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while DC United has a mixed record with two wins, three draws, and one loss. Historically, the last ten encounters between the two teams have been evenly matched, with both sides securing four wins each and two draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
FC Cincinnati and DC United team news
FC Cincinnati news
- A. Lajhar — injury
- D. Doudera — inactive
- S. Gidi — injury
DC United news
- G. Segal — leg injury
- K. Rowles — thigh injury
- T. Baribo — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Cincinnati and DC United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.73
FC Cincinnati and DC United attack and defence ratings
FC Cincinnati
DC United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v San Diego — match page
- Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls — team news & stats
- FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City
- Austin v San Jose Earthquakes — match page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs New England Revolution — team news & stats
- Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
- Vancouver Whitecaps v St. Louis City — match page
- Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Cincinnati vs DC United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cincinnati | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cincinnati | 44.6% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| DC United | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cincinnati win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
FC Cincinnati vs DC United stats
FC Cincinnati and DC United recent form
| FC Cincinnati |
LDDLLD |
| DC United |
DLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Cincinnati and DC United season so far
FC Cincinnati record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
DC United record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
FC Cincinnati vs DC United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | FC Cincinnati | DC United | Major League Soccer | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | DC United | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-03 | DC United | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 2-3 |
| 2024-03-10 | FC Cincinnati | DC United | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
| 2023-06-24 | DC United | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 3-0 |
| 2023-05-06 | FC Cincinnati | DC United | Major League Soccer | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-09 | DC United | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 2-5 |
| 2022-03-05 | FC Cincinnati | DC United | Major League Soccer | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-25 | DC United | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer | 4-2 |
| 2021-07-31 | FC Cincinnati | DC United | Major League Soccer | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 20.9%, away 19.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.56 | 4.60 | 4.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.35 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.45 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.53 | 4.91 |
| SBO | 1.49 | 4.03 | 4.38 |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .