Wales Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Caernarfon Town
vs
Flint Town United
3 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | L. Jonas | ||
| 43′ | P. Mendes | ||
| 45′ | Z. Clarke | ||
| 46′ | M. BurkeT. Owolabi | ||
| 49′ | L. Mendes | ||
| 52′ | Z. Clarke | ||
| 57′ | Caernarfon Town | ||
| 63′ | O. Evans | ||
| 66′ | L. JonasH. Dean | ||
| 73′ | C. MarriottM. Jones | ||
| 73′ | O. EvansJ. Canavan | ||
| 73′ | J. PiggottD. Smith | ||
| 73′ | S. BradleyO. Zanzala | ||
| 81′ | A. CieslewiczS. Nyamwanza | ||
| 90′ | Flint Town UnitedL. Morrison | ||
| 90′ | L. MendesJ. Atkin |
Caernarfon Town
58%
Draw
23%
Flint Town United
20%
Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United
| Probability | Caernarfon Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 24.4% | 27.4% |
| Market | 60.7% | 21.9% | 17.4% |
| Final | 57.5% | 22.5% | 19.9% |
| Edge | -12.5% | +2.5% | +10.0% |
Why Caernarfon Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United expected goals
Caernarfon Town
1.89
Flint Town United
1.39
Total expected goals: 3.27
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United attack and defence ratings
Caernarfon Town
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Flint Town United
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United: result vs prediction
Caernarfon Town 3 – 0 Flint Town United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caernarfon Town | 57.5% | 1.74 | -12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caernarfon Town | 57.5% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Flint Town United | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Caernarfon Town win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United stats
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United recent form
| Caernarfon Town |
LWWWLW |
| Flint Town United |
LDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United going into this match
Caernarfon Town record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Flint Town United record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Caernarfon Town wins
2Draws
1Flint Town United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Caernarfon Town | Flint Town United | Welsh Cup | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Caernarfon Town | Flint Town United | Wales Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Flint Town United | Caernarfon Town | Wales Premier League | 2-5 |
| 2025-01-14 | Caernarfon Town | Flint Town United | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-09-25 | Flint Town United | Caernarfon Town | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-19 | Flint Town United | Caernarfon Town | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2023-02-24 | Caernarfon Town | Flint Town United | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-12-23 | Flint Town United | Caernarfon Town | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-14 | Caernarfon Town | Flint Town United | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-14 | Caernarfon Town | Flint Town United | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 21.9%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.45 | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 3.98 | 5.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.15 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.32 | 5.37 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.98 | 4.74 |
| Superbet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.48 ▲ +0.02
X
4.10 ▼ -0.35
2
5.15 ▼ -0.38
4 snapshots recorded, from .