Wales Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
The New Saints
vs
Barry Town
1 – 0 Full time
| 30′ | O. CuddihyJ. Lester | ||
| 37′ | N. Daley | ||
| 42′ | Z. Nolan | ||
| 61′ | I. JefferiesB. Young | ||
| 61′ | B. WilsonJ. Williams | ||
| 61′ | N. DaleyD. Smith | ||
| 69′ | D. Smith | ||
| 77′ | Z. NolanD. Redmond | ||
| 77′ | E. DuganJ. Shaw | ||
| 82′ | J. LockR. Brobbel | ||
| 83′ | O. Brain | ||
| 88′ | R. Hughes |
The New Saints
69%
Draw
18%
Barry Town
13%
The New Saints vs Barry Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: The New Saints vs Barry Town
| Probability | The New Saints | Draw | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 26.9% | 28.7% |
| Market | 76.9% | 14.9% | 8.1% |
| Final | 68.8% | 17.9% | 13.3% |
| Edge | -32.6% | +11.9% | +20.6% |
Why The New Saints
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.25.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
The New Saints and Barry Town expected goals
The New Saints
1.60
Barry Town
1.25
Total expected goals: 2.85
The New Saints and Barry Town attack and defence ratings
The New Saints
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Barry Town
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
The New Saints vs Barry Town: result vs prediction
The New Saints 1 – 0 Barry Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Cardiff MET vs Cambrian & Clydach — team news & stats
- Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United
- GAP Connah S Quay FC v Haverfordwest County AFC — match page
- Llandudno vs Ammanford AFC — team news & stats
- Briton Ferry v Airbus UK — match page
- Holywell vs Trefelin — team news & stats
- Penybont vs Colwyn Bay
Before and after this match
The New Saints vs Barry Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 68.8% | 1.45 | -32.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 68.8% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| Barry Town | 13.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
The New Saints vs Barry Town stats
The New Saints and Barry Town recent form
| The New Saints |
WWWWWD |
| Barry Town |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
The New Saints and Barry Town going into this match
The New Saints record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Barry Town record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
The New Saints vs Barry Town head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7The New Saints wins
2Draws
1Barry Town wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Barry Town | The New Saints | Wales Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | The New Saints | Barry Town | League Cup | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-24 | The New Saints | Barry Town | Wales Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | The New Saints | Barry Town | Wales Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Barry Town | The New Saints | Wales Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Barry Town | The New Saints | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-02 | Barry Town | The New Saints | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2024-09-14 | The New Saints | Barry Town | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Barry Town | The New Saints | Premier League | 2-6 |
| 2023-08-26 | The New Saints | Barry Town | Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
The New Saints vs Barry Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.8%, draw 15.9%, away 9.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.28 | 5.00 | 8.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 6.20 | 11.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 5.75 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 5.10 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 5.80 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 6.20 | 11.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 6.67 | 11.81 |
| Superbet | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Unibet | 1.25 | 5.10 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.19 ▼ -0.09
X
6.10 ▲ +0.90
2
11.25 ▲ +2.70
10 snapshots recorded, from .