Garuda Lions
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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Airbus UK vs The New Saints

0 – 2 Full time

31′D. Williams
40′R. Holden
72′D. CornessL. Smith
72′R. HoldenJ. Williams
75′O. CallandJ. Hughes
77′R. HughesB. Young
81′S. Moscrop
85′G. PeersJ. Parry
90′K. Cooke

The Airfield, BroughtonReferee: N. Pratt

Airbus UK 13%
Draw 18%
The New Saints 70%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Airbus UK vs The New Saints overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Airbus UK vs The New Saints

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAirbus UKDrawThe New Saints
Model23.8%26.2%50.0%
Market8.8%15.0%76.2%
Final12.5%17.8%69.7%
Edge+15.0%+11.2%-26.3%

Confidence: Low

Why The New Saints

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Airbus UK ↓ / The New Saints → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Airbus UK and The New Saints expected goals

Airbus UK 1.12
The New Saints 1.70

Total expected goals: 2.82

Airbus UK and The New Saints attack and defence ratings

Airbus UK

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.95 -5%

The New Saints

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Airbus UK vs The New Saints: result vs prediction

Airbus UK 0 – 2 The New Saints

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Airbus UK vs The New Saints markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 The New Saints 69.7% 1.44 -26.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 87.5% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Airbus UK12.5%
Draw17.8%
The New Saints69.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.3%
12 (either side)82.2%
X2 (draw or away)87.5%
Handicap -1The New Saints win27.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-29.7%
0-19.0%

Airbus UK vs The New Saints stats

Airbus UK and The New Saints recent form

newest first
Airbus UK WWLLWL
The New Saints WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Airbus UK and The New Saints going into this match

league record before kick-off

Airbus UK record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

The New Saints record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Airbus UK vs The New Saints head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Airbus UK wins 0Draws 10The New Saints wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-08-02The New SaintsAirbus UKLeague Cup7-1
2025-02-15The New SaintsAirbus UKWelsh Cup5-0
2024-09-17Airbus UKThe New SaintsLeague Cup0-1
2022-12-31Airbus UKThe New SaintsPremier League0-8
2022-12-26The New SaintsAirbus UKPremier League7-0
2019-11-30Airbus UKThe New SaintsPremier League0-12
2019-10-12The New SaintsAirbus UKPremier League6-2
2019-01-26Airbus UKThe New SaintsWelsh Cup2-5
2016-11-25The New SaintsAirbus UKPremier League4-0
2016-09-04Airbus UKThe New SaintsPremier League1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Airbus UK vs The New Saints odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.0%, draw 14.4%, away 76.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 11.90 6.05 1.18
Bet365 9.00 6.25 1.20
BetVictor 8.00 4.80 1.15
Dafabet 12.00 6.80 1.19
Marathonbet 11.50 6.05 1.17
Pinnacle 9.71 6.42 1.22
Superbet 10.00 6.50 1.18
Unibet 10.00 6.25 1.18
William Hill 11.00 5.80 1.22

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 10.36 ▼ -0.64
X 6.05 ▼ -0.38
2 1.19 —

8 snapshots recorded, from .