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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET

1 – 1 Full time

1′I. Modi
24′C. Craven
34′L. Mendes
59′B. Woollam
60′J. Veale
62′T. OwolabiC. Wilson
68′J. HooperM. McKenzie
68′B. Hughes
70′J. ThornH. Dean
88′J. Veale
90′C. Craven
90′C. Craven

Essity Stadium, FlintReferee: S. Davies

Flint Town United 29%
Draw 26%
Cardiff MET 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFlint Town UnitedDrawCardiff MET
Model16.8%22.5%60.7%
Market33.5%27.5%39.0%
Final29.3%26.2%44.4%
Edge-16.7%-5.0%+21.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Cardiff MET

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cardiff MET below the model: +21.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Flint Town Uni ↓ / Cardiff MET → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 10% 7% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Flint Town United and Cardiff MET expected goals

Flint Town United 1.01
Cardiff MET 2.07

Total expected goals: 3.08

Flint Town United and Cardiff MET attack and defence ratings

Flint Town United

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Cardiff MET

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET: result vs prediction

Flint Town United 1 – 1 Cardiff MET

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cardiff MET 44.4% 2.25 +21.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.3% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Flint Town United29.3%
Draw26.2%
Cardiff MET44.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.4%
Under 2.540.6%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.6%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)70.7%
Handicap -1Cardiff MET win38.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss39.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-29.9%
0-29.8%

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET stats

Flint Town United and Cardiff MET recent form

newest first
Flint Town United LLDLLL
Cardiff MET DWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Flint Town United and Cardiff MET going into this match

league record before kick-off

Flint Town United record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cardiff MET record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Flint Town United wins 4Draws 4Cardiff MET wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Cardiff METFlint Town UnitedWales Premier League2-2
2026-02-21Flint Town UnitedCardiff METWales Premier League1-1
2025-10-25Cardiff METFlint Town UnitedWales Premier League4-1
2025-08-30Flint Town UnitedCardiff METWales Premier League4-2
2024-12-14Cardiff METFlint Town UnitedPremier League2-0
2024-08-10Flint Town UnitedCardiff METPremier League1-2
2022-12-10Flint Town UnitedCardiff METPremier League1-1
2022-09-03Cardiff METFlint Town UnitedPremier League1-0
2022-01-29Flint Town UnitedCardiff METPremier League2-2
2021-08-14Cardiff METFlint Town UnitedPremier League1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Flint Town United vs Cardiff MET odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 27.4%, away 37.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.69 3.28 2.31
Bet365 2.60 3.70 2.15
BetVictor 2.50 3.10 2.10
Dafabet 2.46 3.50 2.65
Marathonbet 2.69 3.28 2.31
Pinnacle 2.78 3.32 2.39
Superbet 2.42 3.40 2.60
Unibet 2.48 3.30 2.43
William Hill 2.80 3.20 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.69 ▲ +0.23
X 3.28 ▼ -0.10
2 2.31 ▼ -0.21

8 snapshots recorded, from .