Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 8

Barry Town vs Llandudno

4 – 1 Full time

5′E. Dugan
13′N. Daley
15′T. Stephens
26′I. Cartwright
55′B. MaherM. Cadwallader
64′J. Shaw
68′W. Richards
68′M. Cadwallader
70′D. Barton
72′L. HigginsM. Williams
74′C. MorrisL. Hughes
77′T. StephensJ. Faux
82′N. DaleyD. Smith
88′K. Lloyd
90′T. Wharton
90′K. Smith
90′K. Smith
90′E. Williams

Jenner Park, BarryReferee: J. Walker

Barry Town 43%
Draw 28%
Llandudno 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Barry Town vs Llandudno overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barry Town vs Llandudno

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarry TownDrawLlandudno
Model40.5%27.2%32.2%
Market43.9%28.2%27.9%
Final43.0%28.0%29.0%
Edge-3.3%-1.0%+4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Barry Town

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barry Town ↓ / Llandudno → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Barry Town and Llandudno expected goals

Barry Town 1.52
Llandudno 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.85

Barry Town and Llandudno attack and defence ratings

Barry Town

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Llandudno

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barry Town vs Llandudno: result vs prediction

Barry Town 4 – 1 Llandudno

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Barry Town vs Llandudno markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barry Town 43.0% 2.32 -3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barry Town43.0%
Draw28.0%
Llandudno29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.3%
Under 2.545.7%
Both teams to scoreYes58.7%
No41.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)57.0%
Handicap -1Barry Town win20.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Barry Town vs Llandudno stats

Barry Town and Llandudno recent form

newest first
Barry Town LWWWWW
Llandudno WLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barry Town and Llandudno going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barry Town record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Llandudno record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Barry Town vs Llandudno head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Barry Town wins 0Draws 2Llandudno wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-11-04Barry TownLlandudnoPremier League2-1
2018-09-08LlandudnoBarry TownPremier League2-0
2018-04-21LlandudnoBarry TownPremier League2-3
2018-02-24Barry TownLlandudnoPremier League4-1
2017-11-11Barry TownLlandudnoPremier League2-0
2017-09-16LlandudnoBarry TownPremier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barry Town vs Llandudno odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 27.3%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 3.18 3.39
Bet365 2.05 3.30 3.10
BetVictor 1.93 3.00 2.88
Betano 1.85 3.70 3.75
Betfair 1.75 3.80 3.70
Dafabet 1.83 3.80 3.80
Marathonbet 2.02 3.18 3.32
Pinnacle 2.08 3.16 3.47
Superbet 1.82 3.70 3.70
Unibet 1.78 3.55 3.65
William Hill 2.20 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▲ +0.24
X 3.18 ▼ -0.49
2 3.21 ▼ -0.49

8 snapshots recorded, from .