Barry Town
vs
Ammanford AFC
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | N. Daley | ||
| 30′ | E. DuganD. Smith | ||
| 45′ | W. Richards | ||
| 53′ | D. Smith | ||
| 55′ | C. Thomas | ||
| 71′ | C. ShirtM. Fisher | ||
| 80′ | A. JohnL. Owen | ||
| 86′ | N. Daley | ||
| 89′ | N. DaleyJ. Crosbie | ||
| 89′ | E. GriffithsH. Lloyd | ||
| 90′ | C. Sainty | ||
| 90′ | C. Thomas |
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC
| Probability | Barry Town | Draw | Ammanford AFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 87.3% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Market | 81.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Final | 82.6% | 12.1% | 5.4% |
| Edge | +6.3% | -3.6% | -2.6% |
Why Barry Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.33 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Barry Town below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barry Town and Ammanford AFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.95
Barry Town and Ammanford AFC attack and defence ratings
Barry Town
Ammanford AFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC: result vs prediction
Barry Town 2 – 2 Ammanford AFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barry Town | 82.6% | 1.21 | +6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Barry Town win | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barry Town | 82.6% |
| Draw | 12.1% | |
| Ammanford AFC | 5.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 17.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barry Town win | 71.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 12.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 11.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 4-0 | 9.8% |
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC stats
Barry Town and Ammanford AFC recent form
| Barry Town |
WLWWWW |
| Ammanford AFC |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barry Town and Ammanford AFC going into this match
Barry Town record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ammanford AFC record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-04 | Barry Town | Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-29 | Ammanford AFC | Barry Town | FAW Championship | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.0%, draw 13.0%, away 6.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 5.25 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 6.50 | 14.50 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 7.00 | 15.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13 | 7.81 | 15.21 |
| SBO | 1.15 | 5.90 | 9.64 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .