Holywell
vs
Colwyn Bay
0 – 5 Full time
| 9′ | M. Hill | ||
| 21′ | J. Davies | ||
| 35′ | L. Sirrell | ||
| 42′ | J. Kenny | ||
| 45′ | J. Davies | ||
| 57′ | D. PooleL. Robles | ||
| 57′ | C. BratleyJ. Williams | ||
| 57′ | D. McGiveronJ. Sconce | ||
| 57′ | S. BakerC. Hughes | ||
| 70′ | J. DaviesA. Davies | ||
| 71′ | M. WinsladeF. Murtas | ||
| 82′ | O. DaviesJ. Reed |
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Holywell vs Colwyn Bay
| Probability | Holywell | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 22.8% | 53.5% |
| Market | 12.0% | 19.1% | 69.0% |
| Final | 14.9% | 20.0% | 65.1% |
| Edge | +11.8% | +3.7% | -15.5% |
Why Colwyn Bay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Holywell and Colwyn Bay expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Holywell and Colwyn Bay attack and defence ratings
Holywell
Colwyn Bay
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay: result vs prediction
Holywell 0 – 5 Colwyn Bay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 65.1% | 1.54 | -15.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Holywell | 14.9% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Colwyn Bay | 65.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 6.9% |
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay stats
Holywell and Colwyn Bay recent form
| Holywell |
LDLLLL |
| Colwyn Bay |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Holywell and Colwyn Bay going into this match
Holywell record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Colwyn Bay record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-25 | Holywell | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-06 | Colwyn Bay | Holywell | FAW Championship | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-25 | Colwyn Bay | Holywell | FAW Championship | 1-3 |
| 2022-08-12 | Holywell | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 1-6 |
| 2022-04-02 | Holywell | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-01 | Colwyn Bay | Holywell | FAW Championship | 0-3 |
| 2021-07-17 | Holywell | Colwyn Bay | League Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.0%, draw 19.1%, away 69.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.40 | 4.70 | 1.29 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 6.80 | 4.75 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 8.00 | 4.70 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 7.32 | 4.96 | 1.35 |
| SBO | 6.18 | 4.73 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .