Colwyn Bay
vs
Barry Town
5 – 2 Full time
| 30′ | N. Daley | ||
| 36′ | M. George | ||
| 40′ | D. Poole | ||
| 48′ | N. Peate | ||
| 57′ | J. Davies | ||
| 57′ | D. SmithJ. Crosbie | ||
| 61′ | S. HartE. Roberts | ||
| 62′ | J. KennyA. Davies | ||
| 66′ | S. Forde | ||
| 77′ | J. DaviesJ. Williams | ||
| 82′ | C. Bratley | ||
| 83′ | J. ShawJ. Bernard | ||
| 85′ | C. BratleyA. Edwards | ||
| 85′ | L. RoblesM. Hill | ||
| 87′ | L. Robles | ||
| 90′ | M. Hill |
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town
| Probability | Colwyn Bay | Draw | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 26.3% | 40.5% |
| Market | 42.4% | 28.3% | 29.4% |
| Final | 40.1% | 27.8% | 32.1% |
| Edge | -9.2% | -1.9% | +11.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colwyn Bay and Barry Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Colwyn Bay and Barry Town attack and defence ratings
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town: result vs prediction
Colwyn Bay 5 – 2 Barry Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 40.1% | 2.50 | -9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 40.1% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Barry Town | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 66.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town stats
Colwyn Bay and Barry Town recent form
| Colwyn Bay |
WWLWLW |
| Barry Town |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colwyn Bay and Barry Town going into this match
Colwyn Bay record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Barry Town record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Colwyn Bay | Barry Town | Wales Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | Wales Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Colwyn Bay | Barry Town | Wales Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2025-08-16 | Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | Wales Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Colwyn Bay | Barry Town | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-16 | Colwyn Bay | Barry Town | Welsh Cup | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-28 | Colwyn Bay | Barry Town | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 28.3%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.18 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 2.90 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.18 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.34 | 3.20 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 2.94 | 2.89 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .