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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach

9 – 1 Full time

16′A. Evans
22′Z. Clarke
27′P. Mendes
34′C. Roberts
34′J. Beecher
35′L. Eason
35′R. Sears
37′P. MendesH. Thomas
45′J. Canavan
50′K. Jones
55′K. Jones
56′S. Bradley
59′C. HughesJ. Allen
63′A. Cieslewicz
65′Z. ClarkeO. Evans
65′S. BradleyS. Nyamwanza
65′A. CieslewiczO. Zanzala
66′L. EasonA. Bonthron
74′R. Sears
75′N. Edwards
83′R. SearsH. Wyn
83′A. EvansJ. Joseph
83′A. JohnT. Jones
84′M. Jones
90′O. Zanzala

The Oval, CaernarfonReferee: N. Pratt

Caernarfon Town 58%
Draw 21%
Cambrian & Clydach 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCaernarfon TownDrawCambrian & Clydach
Model41.6%23.6%34.8%
Market63.0%20.7%16.3%
Final57.7%21.4%20.9%
Edge-21.4%+2.9%+18.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Caernarfon Town

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Caernarfon Tow ↓ / Cambrian & Cly → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Caernarfon Town and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals

Caernarfon Town 1.89
Cambrian & Clydach 1.72

Total expected goals: 3.61

Caernarfon Town and Cambrian & Clydach attack and defence ratings

Caernarfon Town

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Cambrian & Clydach

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach: result vs prediction

Caernarfon Town 9 – 1 Cambrian & Clydach

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Caernarfon Town 57.7% 1.73 -21.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.6% 1.42 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Caernarfon Town57.7%
Draw21.4%
Cambrian & Clydach20.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.0%
Under 2.530.0%
Both teams to scoreYes70.6%
No29.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.1%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)42.3%
Handicap -1Caernarfon Town win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-18.3%
1-27.6%

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach stats

Caernarfon Town and Cambrian & Clydach recent form

newest first
Caernarfon Town DWWLWW
Cambrian & Clydach WWDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Caernarfon Town and Cambrian & Clydach going into this match

league record before kick-off

Caernarfon Town record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Cambrian & Clydach record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.0%, draw 20.7%, away 16.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.41 4.40 5.90
Bet365 1.44 4.33 5.25
BetVictor 1.36 3.90 4.80
Betano 1.47 4.25 5.30
Betfair 1.40 4.60 5.50
Marathonbet 1.40 4.40 5.65
Pinnacle 1.47 4.61 5.54
SBO 1.42 4.09 5.03
William Hill 1.44 4.20 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.42 —
X 4.33 ▼ -0.17
2 5.50 ▼ -0.63

8 snapshots recorded, from .