Wales Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
The New Saints
vs
Llandudno
2 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | J. Pownall | ||
| 32′ | B. Young | ||
| 45′ | B. Maher | ||
| 45′ | D. Corness | ||
| 45′ | R. Weaver | ||
| 46′ | I. CartwrightN. Grogan | ||
| 52′ | N. Grogan | ||
| 71′ | J. WilliamsI. Jefferies | ||
| 71′ | D. CornessZ. Nolan | ||
| 76′ | N. Shepperd | ||
| 78′ | R. Hughes | ||
| 79′ | B. YoungR. Holden | ||
| 79′ | J. LockA. Wilson | ||
| 83′ | N. GroganJ. Faux | ||
| 83′ | L. HigginsC. Ruberto | ||
| 84′ | K. Lloyd | ||
| 90′ | R. Holden | ||
| 90′ | L. HughesC. Roberts |
The New Saints
79%
Draw
14%
Llandudno
8%
The New Saints vs Llandudno overview
Garuda Lions analysis: The New Saints vs Llandudno
| Probability | The New Saints | Draw | Llandudno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.2% | 20.1% | 10.7% |
| Market | 82.0% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Final | 78.8% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Edge | -12.9% | +8.6% | +4.2% |
Why The New Saints
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
The New Saints and Llandudno expected goals
The New Saints
2.18
Llandudno
0.76
Total expected goals: 2.94
The New Saints and Llandudno attack and defence ratings
The New Saints
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
0.49 -51%
Llandudno
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
The New Saints vs Llandudno: result vs prediction
The New Saints 2 – 1 Llandudno
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Caernarfon Town vs Cambrian & Clydach — team news & stats
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET
- Ammanford AFC v Penybont — match page
- Haverfordwest County AFC vs Holywell — team news & stats
- Briton Ferry vs Trefelin
- Airbus UK v Flint Town United — match page
- Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
The New Saints vs Llandudno markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 78.8% | 1.27 | -12.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 78.8% |
| Draw | 13.7% | |
| Llandudno | 7.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 45.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 30.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
The New Saints vs Llandudno stats
The New Saints and Llandudno recent form
| The New Saints |
WWWWWW |
| Llandudno |
DLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
The New Saints and Llandudno going into this match
The New Saints record
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Llandudno record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
The New Saints vs Llandudno head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
10The New Saints wins
0Draws
0Llandudno wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | The New Saints | Llandudno | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2019-03-02 | Llandudno | The New Saints | Welsh Cup | 1-8 |
| 2018-12-22 | Llandudno | The New Saints | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2018-10-17 | The New Saints | Llandudno | Premier League | 6-1 |
| 2017-11-17 | Llandudno | The New Saints | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2017-09-22 | The New Saints | Llandudno | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2016-10-15 | The New Saints | Llandudno | Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2016-08-20 | Llandudno | The New Saints | Premier League | 0-5 |
| 2016-04-23 | Llandudno | The New Saints | Premier League | 1-5 |
| 2016-03-11 | The New Saints | Llandudno | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
The New Saints vs Llandudno odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.7%, draw 11.8%, away 6.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 7.60 | 14.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 6.90 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 7.50 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.09 | 7.70 | 14.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13 | 8.48 | 13.80 |
| William Hill | 1.15 | 8.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.10 ▼ -0.10
X
7.85 ▲ +1.65
2
13.90 ▲ +2.80
10 snapshots recorded, from .