Airbus UK
vs
Flint Town United
4 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | G. Peers | ||
| 7′ | B. Hughes | ||
| 12′ | T. McManus | ||
| 18′ | L. Jonas | ||
| 35′ | T. McManus | ||
| 44′ | G. Peers | ||
| 62′ | L. Jonas | ||
| 62′ | L. Jonas | ||
| 65′ | B. HughesC. Wilson | ||
| 71′ | J. EvansM. Blackwell-Jones | ||
| 72′ | J. RobertsJ. Parry | ||
| 74′ | T. OwolabiY. Marquez | ||
| 74′ | I. ModiL. Morrison | ||
| 79′ | K. CookeJ. Hughes | ||
| 82′ | N. KaneA. Lear | ||
| 83′ | G. Peers | ||
| 84′ | S. RickettB. Diau | ||
| 85′ | T. McManusE. Smith | ||
| 88′ | H. Dean |
Airbus UK vs Flint Town United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Airbus UK vs Flint Town United
| Probability | Airbus UK | Draw | Flint Town United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.7% | 23.6% | 17.7% |
| Market | 50.6% | 24.4% | 25.0% |
| Final | 52.6% | 24.2% | 23.2% |
| Edge | +8.1% | -0.8% | -7.3% |
Why Airbus UK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Airbus UK below the model: +8.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Airbus UK and Flint Town United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Airbus UK and Flint Town United attack and defence ratings
Airbus UK
Flint Town United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Airbus UK vs Flint Town United: result vs prediction
Airbus UK 4 – 1 Flint Town United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Airbus UK vs Flint Town United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Airbus UK | 52.6% | 1.90 | +8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Airbus UK | 52.6% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Flint Town United | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Airbus UK win | 35.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 41.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 10.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Airbus UK vs Flint Town United stats
Airbus UK and Flint Town United recent form
| Airbus UK |
LLWWLL |
| Flint Town United |
LDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Airbus UK and Flint Town United going into this match
Airbus UK record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flint Town United record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Airbus UK vs Flint Town United head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Flint Town United | Airbus UK | Welsh Cup | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-20 | Airbus UK | Flint Town United | FAW Championship | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-07 | Flint Town United | Airbus UK | FAW Championship | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-14 | Airbus UK | Flint Town United | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-11 | Flint Town United | Airbus UK | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Flint Town United | Airbus UK | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-30 | Airbus UK | Flint Town United | Premier League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Airbus UK vs Flint Town United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 24.4%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.70 | 3.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.85 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.70 | 3.54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.97 | 3.65 |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.41 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .