Flint Town United
vs
Ammanford AFC
3 – 0 Full time
| 51′ | T. Owolabi | ||
| 59′ | L. SylvesterH. Rowe | ||
| 59′ | A. JohnC. Thomas | ||
| 60′ | M. FisherJ. M. Case | ||
| 62′ | T. Owolabi | ||
| 64′ | T. OwolabiA. Francis | ||
| 73′ | L. Mendes | ||
| 73′ | J. HopkinsC. Shirt | ||
| 74′ | L. MendesC. Wilson | ||
| 81′ | I. ModiY. Marquez | ||
| 86′ | C. BellL. Davies |
Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC
| Probability | Flint Town United | Draw | Ammanford AFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 26.3% | 29.5% |
| Market | 62.4% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
| Final | 57.8% | 22.1% | 20.1% |
| Edge | -18.2% | +5.6% | +12.6% |
Why Flint Town United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.32.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Flint Town United and Ammanford AFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Flint Town United and Ammanford AFC attack and defence ratings
Flint Town United
Ammanford AFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC: result vs prediction
Flint Town United 3 – 0 Ammanford AFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 57.8% | 1.73 | -18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 57.8% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Ammanford AFC | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Flint Town United win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 7.4% |
Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC stats
Flint Town United and Ammanford AFC recent form
| Flint Town United |
LLDLLD |
| Ammanford AFC |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flint Town United and Ammanford AFC going into this match
Flint Town United record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Ammanford AFC record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Flint Town United vs Ammanford AFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.7%, draw 21.3%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.15 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.33 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 4.40 | 5.31 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .