Holywell
vs
Briton Ferry
1 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | J. Jones | ||
| 25′ | Holywell | ||
| 30′ | F. Yonsian | ||
| 34′ | A. Gammond | ||
| 46′ | J. JonesL. Bowen | ||
| 46′ | O. AndersonC. Hurford | ||
| 62′ | L. Bowen | ||
| 65′ | T. BibbyC. Bedford | ||
| 65′ | O. DaviesM. Winslade | ||
| 68′ | Holywell | ||
| 77′ | L. CooperJ. Lloyd | ||
| 82′ | Holywell | ||
| 84′ | T. WaltersT. Jenkins | ||
| 88′ | R. OwenR. George | ||
| 90′ | C. HughesM. Davies | ||
| 90′ | F. YonsianF. Murtas | ||
| 90′ | Holywell | ||
| 90′ | Holywell |
Holywell vs Briton Ferry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Holywell vs Briton Ferry
| Probability | Holywell | Draw | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.8% | 24.0% | 49.2% |
| Market | 20.8% | 22.1% | 57.1% |
| Final | 22.3% | 22.6% | 55.1% |
| Edge | +6.0% | +1.9% | -7.9% |
Why Briton Ferry
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.40.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Holywell and Briton Ferry expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
Holywell and Briton Ferry attack and defence ratings
Holywell
Briton Ferry
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Holywell vs Briton Ferry: result vs prediction
Holywell 1 – 1 Briton Ferry
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Holywell vs Briton Ferry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Briton Ferry | 55.1% | 1.81 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Holywell | 22.3% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Briton Ferry | 55.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Briton Ferry win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 6.7% |
Holywell vs Briton Ferry stats
Holywell and Briton Ferry recent form
| Holywell |
LLLDLL |
| Briton Ferry |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Holywell and Briton Ferry going into this match
Holywell record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Briton Ferry record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Holywell vs Briton Ferry head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Holywell vs Briton Ferry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.8%, draw 22.2%, away 57.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.42 | 4.05 | 1.58 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 4.33 | 4.05 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | 4.31 | 4.21 | 1.64 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .