Briton Ferry
vs
Trefelin
1 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | D. JohnO. Degelman | ||
| 44′ | A. Gammond | ||
| 66′ | T. Brock | ||
| 70′ | O. AndersonL. Bowen | ||
| 80′ | B. AmanR. Piper | ||
| 87′ | D. Packer |
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Briton Ferry vs Trefelin
| Probability | Briton Ferry | Draw | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.0% | 26.2% | 17.9% |
| Market | 59.5% | 22.6% | 18.0% |
| Final | 58.6% | 23.5% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +3.6% | -0.1% |
Why Briton Ferry
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Briton Ferry and Trefelin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Briton Ferry and Trefelin attack and defence ratings
Briton Ferry
Trefelin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin: result vs prediction
Briton Ferry 1 – 1 Trefelin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Briton Ferry | 58.6% | 1.71 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Briton Ferry | 58.6% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Trefelin | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Briton Ferry win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.1% |
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin stats
Briton Ferry and Trefelin recent form
| Briton Ferry |
LLLLLW |
| Trefelin |
LLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Briton Ferry and Trefelin going into this match
Briton Ferry record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Trefelin record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-01 | Trefelin | Briton Ferry | FAW Championship | 0-2 |
| 2023-08-08 | Briton Ferry | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 5-0 |
| 2023-01-06 | Briton Ferry | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Trefelin | Briton Ferry | FAW Championship | 1-4 |
| 2022-01-29 | Trefelin | Briton Ferry | FAW Championship | 2-2 |
| 2021-09-10 | Briton Ferry | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 3-1 |
| 2021-09-03 | Briton Ferry | Trefelin | Welsh Cup | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 22.6%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.98 | 5.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.95 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.05 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.29 | 5.01 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.77 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .