Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach

0 – 4 Full time

8′H. Bright
27′A. John
43′Trefelin
46′L. PhillipsJ. Jones
46′J. DaviesL. Ware
46′F. ThomasC. Hughes
46′B. AmanK. Georgievsky
58′L. Eason
59′K. LewisJ. Karadogan
59′O. DegelmanT. Brock
68′J. JonesR. Piper
74′A. John
79′L. Eason
79′A. EvansJ. Allen
80′J. BeecherJ. Morris
83′L. EasonA. Bonthron

Ynys Park, CwmafanReferee: A. McInch

Trefelin 22%
Draw 25%
Cambrian & Clydach 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrefelinDrawCambrian & Clydach
Model15.1%23.8%61.1%
Market24.9%25.2%49.9%
Final22.5%24.9%52.7%
Edge-9.8%-1.4%+11.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Cambrian & Clydach

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cambrian & Clydach below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trefelin ↓ / Cambrian & Cly → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 12% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals

Trefelin 0.84
Cambrian & Clydach 1.89

Total expected goals: 2.74

Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach attack and defence ratings

Trefelin

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Cambrian & Clydach

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach: result vs prediction

Trefelin 0 – 4 Cambrian & Clydach

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cambrian & Clydach 52.7% 1.90 +11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.9% 2.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trefelin22.5%
Draw24.9%
Cambrian & Clydach52.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.4%
No50.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.3%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)77.5%
Handicap -1Cambrian & Clydach win37.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss38.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.6%
1-111.4%
0-111.2%

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach stats

Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach going into this match

league record before kick-off

Trefelin record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.

Cambrian & Clydach record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Trefelin wins 2Draws 4Cambrian & Clydach wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17TrefelinCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship0-4
2025-10-10Cambrian & ClydachTrefelinFAW Championship0-2
2025-02-28Cambrian & ClydachTrefelinFAW Championship1-3
2024-11-02TrefelinCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship5-2
2024-04-20Cambrian & ClydachTrefelinFAW Championship0-0
2023-07-28TrefelinCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship0-4
2023-03-10Cambrian & ClydachTrefelinFAW Championship6-0
2022-08-13TrefelinCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship2-5
2021-10-02TrefelinCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship4-1
2021-08-24Cambrian & ClydachTrefelinFAW Championship2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.9%, draw 25.2%, away 49.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.84 3.56 1.77
Bet365 3.40 3.70 1.80
BetVictor 3.30 3.25 1.70
Betano 3.45 3.50 1.91
Betfair 3.60 3.75 1.80
Marathonbet 3.75 3.56 1.75
Pinnacle 3.80 3.66 1.85
SBO 3.38 3.22 1.84
William Hill 3.75 3.50 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.60 —
X 3.56 ▼ -0.02
2 1.80 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .