Trefelin
vs
Cambrian & Clydach
0 – 4 Full time
| 8′ | H. Bright | ||
| 27′ | A. John | ||
| 43′ | Trefelin | ||
| 46′ | L. PhillipsJ. Jones | ||
| 46′ | J. DaviesL. Ware | ||
| 46′ | F. ThomasC. Hughes | ||
| 46′ | B. AmanK. Georgievsky | ||
| 58′ | L. Eason | ||
| 59′ | K. LewisJ. Karadogan | ||
| 59′ | O. DegelmanT. Brock | ||
| 68′ | J. JonesR. Piper | ||
| 74′ | A. John | ||
| 79′ | L. Eason | ||
| 79′ | A. EvansJ. Allen | ||
| 80′ | J. BeecherJ. Morris | ||
| 83′ | L. EasonA. Bonthron |
Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach
| Probability | Trefelin | Draw | Cambrian & Clydach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.1% | 23.8% | 61.1% |
| Market | 24.9% | 25.2% | 49.9% |
| Final | 22.5% | 24.9% | 52.7% |
| Edge | -9.8% | -1.4% | +11.2% |
Why Cambrian & Clydach
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cambrian & Clydach below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach attack and defence ratings
Trefelin
Cambrian & Clydach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach: result vs prediction
Trefelin 0 – 4 Cambrian & Clydach
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambrian & Clydach | 52.7% | 1.90 | +11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trefelin | 22.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 52.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.4% |
| No | 50.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambrian & Clydach win | 37.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 38.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 1-1 | 11.4% | |
| 0-1 | 11.2% |
Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach stats
Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach recent form
| LDLDLL | |
| WDDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trefelin and Cambrian & Clydach going into this match
Trefelin record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Cambrian & Clydach record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Trefelin | Cambrian & Clydach | FAW Championship | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-10 | Cambrian & Clydach | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-28 | Cambrian & Clydach | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-02 | Trefelin | Cambrian & Clydach | FAW Championship | 5-2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Cambrian & Clydach | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-28 | Trefelin | Cambrian & Clydach | FAW Championship | 0-4 |
| 2023-03-10 | Cambrian & Clydach | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 6-0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Trefelin | Cambrian & Clydach | FAW Championship | 2-5 |
| 2021-10-02 | Trefelin | Cambrian & Clydach | FAW Championship | 4-1 |
| 2021-08-24 | Cambrian & Clydach | Trefelin | FAW Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.9%, draw 25.2%, away 49.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.84 | 3.56 | 1.77 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.75 | 3.56 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 3.80 | 3.66 | 1.85 |
| SBO | 3.38 | 3.22 | 1.84 |
| William Hill | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .