Llandudno
vs
Caernarfon Town
1 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | N. Edwards | ||
| 35′ | I. Cartwright | ||
| 47′ | B. Maher | ||
| 60′ | M. Williams | ||
| 72′ | Z. ClarkeJ. Canavan | ||
| 72′ | P. MooneyR. Sears | ||
| 73′ | C. Marriott | ||
| 79′ | M. WilliamsL. Hughes | ||
| 83′ | B. Nash | ||
| 86′ | M. CadwalladerC. Morris | ||
| 87′ | C. MarriottM. Jones | ||
| 90′ | S. Bradley | ||
| 90′ | N. Edwards |
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town
| Probability | Llandudno | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.5% | 21.9% | 44.5% |
| Market | 28.8% | 26.4% | 44.9% |
| Final | 29.9% | 25.3% | 44.8% |
| Edge | +4.8% | -4.5% | -0.3% |
Why Caernarfon Town
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Llandudno and Caernarfon Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Llandudno and Caernarfon Town attack and defence ratings
Llandudno
Caernarfon Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town: result vs prediction
Llandudno 1 – 1 Caernarfon Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Holywell vs Colwyn Bay — team news & stats
- Trefelin vs Cambrian & Clydach
- Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caernarfon Town | 44.8% | 2.23 | -0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llandudno | 29.9% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Caernarfon Town | 44.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% |
| No | 24.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Caernarfon Town win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.0% |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town stats
Llandudno and Caernarfon Town recent form
| Llandudno |
LWLWLW |
| Caernarfon Town |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Llandudno and Caernarfon Town going into this match
Llandudno record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Caernarfon Town record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-05 | Llandudno | Caernarfon Town | League Cup | 0-1 |
| 2019-01-01 | Llandudno | Caernarfon Town | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2018-12-29 | Caernarfon Town | Llandudno | Premier League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 26.4%, away 44.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.25 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.40 | 1.98 |
| Pinnacle | 3.23 | 3.54 | 2.06 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.22 | 1.97 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .