Wales Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
The New Saints
vs
Flint Town United
5 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | B. Young | ||
| 30′ | J. Lock | ||
| 45′ | J. Lock | ||
| 46′ | J. ThornL. Morrison | ||
| 46′ | H. OwenH. McGahey | ||
| 63′ | D. SimeuH. Godsmark-Ford | ||
| 63′ | B. YoungR. Holden | ||
| 68′ | J. LockI. Jefferies | ||
| 69′ | A. FrancisY. Marquez | ||
| 69′ | B. HughesA. Lear | ||
| 75′ | T. Owolabi | ||
| 77′ | R. HughesB. Wilson | ||
| 77′ | D. DaviesZ. Nolan | ||
| 81′ | L. JonasJ. Tracy | ||
| 82′ | I. Jefferies | ||
| 90′ | B. Wilson |
The New Saints
81%
Draw
13%
Flint Town United
6%
The New Saints vs Flint Town United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: The New Saints vs Flint Town United
| Probability | The New Saints | Draw | Flint Town United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.6% | 18.5% | 6.8% |
| Market | 83.3% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Final | 81.1% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
| Edge | -8.7% | +7.6% | +1.0% |
Why The New Saints
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
The New Saints and Flint Town United expected goals
The New Saints
2.16
Flint Town United
0.52
Total expected goals: 2.69
The New Saints and Flint Town United attack and defence ratings
The New Saints
Attack
1.30 +30%
Defence
0.53 -47%
Flint Town United
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
The New Saints vs Flint Town United: result vs prediction
The New Saints 5 – 0 Flint Town United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
The New Saints vs Flint Town United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 81.1% | 1.23 | -8.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The New Saints | 81.1% |
| Draw | 12.8% | |
| Flint Town United | 6.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.9% |
| No | 63.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | The New Saints win | 50.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 25.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.9% |
| 1-0 | 14.0% | |
| 3-0 | 11.5% |
The New Saints vs Flint Town United stats
The New Saints and Flint Town United recent form
| The New Saints |
WWWWWW |
| Flint Town United |
DLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
The New Saints and Flint Town United going into this match
The New Saints record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Flint Town United record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
The New Saints vs Flint Town United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
9The New Saints wins
1Draws
0Flint Town United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | Flint Town United | The New Saints | Wales Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-23 | The New Saints | Flint Town United | Wales Premier League | 4-2 |
| 2024-10-15 | The New Saints | Flint Town United | Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2024-08-16 | Flint Town United | The New Saints | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2024-08-02 | The New Saints | Flint Town United | League Cup | 5-1 |
| 2023-01-10 | Flint Town United | The New Saints | Premier League | 1-8 |
| 2022-09-27 | The New Saints | Flint Town United | Premier League | 6-2 |
| 2022-04-15 | The New Saints | Flint Town United | Premier League | 7-0 |
| 2022-03-04 | Flint Town United | The New Saints | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2021-10-22 | Flint Town United | The New Saints | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
The New Saints vs Flint Town United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.3%, draw 10.9%, away 5.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06 | 8.40 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.13 | 7.20 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.07 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 8.40 | 17.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.11 | 9.44 | 15.83 |
| SBO | 1.10 | 7.34 | 11.08 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 8.50 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.10 ▼ -0.04
X
8.40 ▲ +1.60
2
15.83 ▲ +2.83
10 snapshots recorded, from .