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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC

1 – 0 Full time

26′R. Watts
38′T. Raison
56′S. Snaith
65′D. ReesJ. Owen
65′R. WattsB. Phillips
65′H. ThomasK. McCarthy
65′S. JonesJ. Edwards
70′H. MatthewsM. McKenzie
82′H. JohnA. Wildig
83′D. HawkinsL. Rees
83′K. KennifordW. Hughes
90′A. Davies

Cyncoed Campus, CardiffReferee: R. Kenny

Cardiff MET 49%
Draw 26%
Haverfordwest County AFC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCardiff METDrawHaverfordwest County AFC
Model49.1%27.6%23.3%
Market48.8%26.1%25.1%
Final48.9%26.5%24.6%
Edge+0.2%+1.5%-1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Cardiff MET

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.02.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cardiff MET ↓ / Haverfordwest → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Cardiff MET and Haverfordwest County AFC expected goals

Cardiff MET 1.57
Haverfordwest County AFC 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.59

Cardiff MET and Haverfordwest County AFC attack and defence ratings

Cardiff MET

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Haverfordwest County AFC

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC: result vs prediction

Cardiff MET 1 – 0 Haverfordwest County AFC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cardiff MET 48.9% 2.05 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.9% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cardiff MET48.9%
Draw26.5%
Haverfordwest County AFC24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.0%
Under 2.552.0%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Cardiff MET win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss50.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-010.6%
2-19.4%

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC stats

Cardiff MET and Haverfordwest County AFC recent form

newest first
Cardiff MET DLDDWW
Haverfordwest County AFC LWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cardiff MET and Haverfordwest County AFC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cardiff MET record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Haverfordwest County AFC record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Cardiff MET wins 6Draws 4Haverfordwest County AFC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-13Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff METWales Premier League1-0
2026-01-23Cardiff METHaverfordwest County AFCWales Premier League0-2
2025-12-30Cardiff METHaverfordwest County AFCWales Premier League0-0
2025-08-22Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff METWales Premier League2-2
2025-04-11Cardiff METHaverfordwest County AFCPremier League1-1
2025-02-21Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff METPremier League1-0
2024-09-27Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff METPremier League1-0
2024-08-26Cardiff METHaverfordwest County AFCPremier League0-0
2023-12-09Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff METWelsh Cup1-1
2023-11-28Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff METPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 26.1%, away 25.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.94 3.90 3.62
Bet365 1.83 3.60 3.60
BetVictor 1.75 3.10 3.25
Betfair 1.85 3.60 3.60
Marathonbet 1.84 3.42 3.54
Pinnacle 1.91 3.50 3.72
SBO 1.85 3.15 3.44
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.13
X 3.46 ▲ +0.06
2 3.60 ▲ +0.20

8 snapshots recorded, from .