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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 12

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET

0 – 1 Full time

40′J. PayneM. McKenzie
48′Llandudno
48′Llandudno
63′M. WilliamsC. Morris
63′M. CadwalladerL. Higgins
64′N. FlintL. Hughes
66′Llandudno
68′J. Edwards
81′A. WildigR. Reynolds
81′J. FauxC. Ruberto
90′Llandudno

Maesdu Park, LlandudnoReferee: D. Morgan

Llandudno 41%
Draw 25%
Cardiff MET 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Llandudno vs Cardiff MET

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLlandudnoDrawCardiff MET
Model30.7%24.1%45.2%
Market44.6%25.2%30.2%
Final41.1%24.9%34.0%
Edge-13.9%-1.1%+15.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Llandudno ↓ / Cardiff MET → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Llandudno and Cardiff MET expected goals

Llandudno 1.53
Cardiff MET 1.89

Total expected goals: 3.42

Llandudno and Cardiff MET attack and defence ratings

Llandudno

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Cardiff MET

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET: result vs prediction

Llandudno 0 – 1 Cardiff MET

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Llandudno 41.1% 2.43 -13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.3% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Llandudno41.1%
Draw24.9%
Cardiff MET34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.4%
Under 2.533.6%
Both teams to scoreYes67.5%
No32.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1Llandudno win14.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.8%
Loss69.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-28.9%
2-17.3%

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET stats

Llandudno and Cardiff MET recent form

newest first
Llandudno LLDLWL
Cardiff MET WDLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Llandudno and Cardiff MET going into this match

league record before kick-off

Llandudno record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Cardiff MET record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Llandudno wins 2Draws 5Cardiff MET wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-04-13LlandudnoCardiff METPremier League1-2
2019-02-16Cardiff METLlandudnoPremier League3-0
2019-01-12LlandudnoCardiff METPremier League0-3
2018-09-16Cardiff METLlandudnoPremier League0-1
2017-12-20LlandudnoCardiff METPremier League0-0
2017-10-08Cardiff METLlandudnoPremier League1-0
2016-11-27Cardiff METLlandudnoPremier League1-1
2016-09-18LlandudnoCardiff METPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 25.2%, away 30.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.12 4.09 3.00
Bet365 2.05 3.70 3.00
BetVictor 1.91 3.20 2.75
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.00
Marathonbet 2.02 3.54 2.93
Pinnacle 2.08 3.59 3.15
SBO 2.01 3.30 2.87
William Hill 2.05 3.75 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▼ -0.32
X 3.59 ▲ +0.14
2 3.00 ▲ +0.40

9 snapshots recorded, from .