Wales Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 12
Haverfordwest County AFC
vs
Flint Town United
0 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | B. Woollam | ||
| 22′ | B. WoollamC. Wilson | ||
| 24′ | J. WalkerB. Phillips | ||
| 33′ | I. Modi | ||
| 35′ | H. McGahey | ||
| 43′ | K. McCarthy | ||
| 45′ | B. Phillips | ||
| 48′ | N. Kane | ||
| 51′ | B. Hughes | ||
| 61′ | B. HughesJ. Malkin | ||
| 61′ | A. FrancisT. Owolabi | ||
| 67′ | C. Shephard | ||
| 71′ | Flint Town United | ||
| 73′ | C. TwoseK. Kenniford | ||
| 73′ | J. OwenL. Rees | ||
| 73′ | N. KaneM. Burke | ||
| 90′ | J. Malkin | ||
| 90′ | B. AhmunH. Thomas |
Haverfordwest County AFC
48%
Draw
27%
Flint Town United
25%
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United
| Probability | Haverfordwest County AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 29.8% | 23.8% |
| Market | 48.9% | 25.7% | 25.5% |
| Final | 48.2% | 26.7% | 25.1% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +4.1% | -1.6% |
Why Haverfordwest County AFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Haverfordwest County AFC and Flint Town United expected goals
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.39
Flint Town United
0.93
Total expected goals: 2.32
Haverfordwest County AFC and Flint Town United attack and defence ratings
Haverfordwest County AFC
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Flint Town United
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United: result vs prediction
Haverfordwest County AFC 0 – 1 Flint Town United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 48.2% | 2.07 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 48.2% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Flint Town United | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.7% |
| No | 53.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haverfordwest County AFC win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United stats
Haverfordwest County AFC and Flint Town United recent form
| Haverfordwest County AFC |
LLWWDW |
| Flint Town United |
WLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Haverfordwest County AFC and Flint Town United going into this match
Haverfordwest County AFC record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Flint Town United record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Haverfordwest County AFC wins
2Draws
2Flint Town United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Flint Town United | Haverfordwest County AFC | Wales Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Flint Town United | Wales Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-20 | Flint Town United | Haverfordwest County AFC | Wales Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Flint Town United | Wales Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Flint Town United | Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Flint Town United | Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Flint Town United | Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Flint Town United | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2022-11-05 | Flint Town United | Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-24 | Haverfordwest County AFC | Flint Town United | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 25.7%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.96 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.13 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.48 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.52 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 1.90 | 3.17 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.85 ▼ -0.24
X
3.52 ▲ +0.07
2
3.55 ▲ +0.46
9 snapshots recorded, from .