Flint Town United
vs
Colwyn Bay
0 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | A. Davies | ||
| 26′ | S. Forde | ||
| 56′ | C. WilsonA. Francis | ||
| 65′ | T. Owolabi | ||
| 66′ | D. Poole | ||
| 69′ | L. Mendes | ||
| 71′ | I. Modi | ||
| 74′ | M. BurkeL. Morrison | ||
| 76′ | S. HartE. Roberts | ||
| 76′ | A. DaviesL. Robles | ||
| 83′ | J. Williams | ||
| 88′ | J. DaviesJ. Kenny | ||
| 88′ | T. OwolabiY. Marquez |
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay
| Probability | Flint Town United | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.5% | 24.6% | 56.8% |
| Market | 19.3% | 23.7% | 57.0% |
| Final | 19.1% | 23.9% | 57.0% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.0% |
Why Colwyn Bay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay attack and defence ratings
Flint Town United
Colwyn Bay
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: result vs prediction
Flint Town United 0 – 1 Colwyn Bay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 57.0% | 1.75 | -0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 19.1% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Colwyn Bay | 57.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 0-2 | 10.1% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay stats
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay recent form
| Flint Town United |
WWLLDL |
| Colwyn Bay |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay going into this match
Flint Town United record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Colwyn Bay record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Colwyn Bay | Flint Town United | Wales Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-07 | Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | Wales Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-09 | Colwyn Bay | Flint Town United | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2020-01-24 | Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | Welsh Cup | 3-2 |
| 2019-12-14 | Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 1-2 |
| 2019-08-23 | Colwyn Bay | Flint Town United | FAW Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.3%, draw 23.7%, away 57.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.80 | 3.84 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 3.84 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.66 | 4.05 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.51 | 3.61 | 1.54 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .