Flint Town United
vs
Colwyn Bay
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colwyn Bay
0 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay
| Probability | Flint Town United | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.1% | 24.9% | 56.0% |
| Market | 18.2% | 23.1% | 58.7% |
| Final | 18.4% | 23.5% | 58.0% |
| Edge | +0.9% | +1.8% | -2.7% |
Why Colwyn Bay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay match preview
Flint Town United faces Colwyn Bay in the Wales Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model predicts a challenging match for Flint Town United, giving them a 19% chance of victory compared to Colwyn Bay's 56%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring with a probability of 10%. Both teams have a 54% chance of scoring, and the expected goals for Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay are 0.99 and 1.83, respectively.
In terms of recent form, Flint Town United has recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Colwyn Bay has won four of their last six games, with one loss and one win. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows each team with one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay attack and defence ratings
Flint Town United
Colwyn Bay
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 58.0% | 1.72 | -2.7% | 1.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 18.4% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Colwyn Bay | 58.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win | 32.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 0-2 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay stats
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay recent form
| Flint Town United |
WWLLDL |
| Colwyn Bay |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay season so far
Flint Town United record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Colwyn Bay record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Colwyn Bay | Flint Town United | Wales Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-07 | Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | Wales Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-09 | Colwyn Bay | Flint Town United | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2020-01-24 | Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | Welsh Cup | 3-2 |
| 2019-12-14 | Flint Town United | Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship | 1-2 |
| 2019-08-23 | Colwyn Bay | Flint Town United | FAW Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.2%, draw 23.1%, away 58.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.26 | 3.94 | 1.51 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.58 |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 3.94 | 1.50 |
| Pinnacle | 5.32 | 4.11 | 1.55 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .