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Wales Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 13

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC

0 – 1 Full time

Referee: R. Kenny

Cambrian & Clydach 65%
Draw 19%
Ammanford AFC 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCambrian & ClydachDrawAmmanford AFC
Model61.3%17.6%21.2%
Market66.8%19.5%13.8%
Final65.4%19.0%15.6%
Edge-5.5%-1.9%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Cambrian & Clydach

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 1.78.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cambrian & Cly ↓ / Ammanford AFC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 2 7% 6% 3 7% 6% 4+ 6% 10% 9% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 85%
No goals 1%

Cambrian & Clydach and Ammanford AFC expected goals

Cambrian & Clydach 2.95
Ammanford AFC 1.78

Total expected goals: 4.73

Cambrian & Clydach and Ammanford AFC attack and defence ratings

Cambrian & Clydach

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.89 +89%

Ammanford AFC

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.59 +59%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC: result vs prediction

Cambrian & Clydach 0 – 1 Ammanford AFC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Wales Premier League

Before and after this match

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cambrian & Clydach 65.4% 1.53 -5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85.0% 1.18 — —
Both teams to score Yes 79.2% 1.26 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.4% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Cambrian & Clydach win 42.8% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cambrian & Clydach65.4%
Draw19.0%
Ammanford AFC15.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585.0%
Under 2.515.0%
Both teams to scoreYes79.2%
No20.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.4%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)34.6%
Handicap -1Cambrian & Clydach win42.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss38.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-16.8%
3-16.7%
2-26.1%

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC stats

Cambrian & Clydach and Ammanford AFC recent form

newest first
Cambrian & Clydach LWLWWD
Ammanford AFC WLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cambrian & Clydach and Ammanford AFC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cambrian & Clydach record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Ammanford AFC record

  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Cambrian & Clydach wins 4Draws 2Ammanford AFC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-24Ammanford AFCCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship0-0
2025-11-14Cambrian & ClydachAmmanford AFCFAW Championship1-1
2025-01-11Ammanford AFCCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship1-0
2024-10-04Cambrian & ClydachAmmanford AFCFAW Championship3-2
2024-03-02Cambrian & ClydachAmmanford AFCFAW Championship0-0
2023-09-09Ammanford AFCCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship3-1
2023-04-04Ammanford AFCCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship1-1
2022-08-26Cambrian & ClydachAmmanford AFCFAW Championship3-1
2022-02-12Cambrian & ClydachAmmanford AFCFAW Championship3-0
2021-10-22Ammanford AFCCambrian & ClydachFAW Championship3-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.8%, draw 19.5%, away 13.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.34 4.60 6.92
Bet365 1.33 4.50 6.50
BetVictor 1.30 4.00 5.50
Betano 1.38 4.60 6.20
Betfair 1.30 5.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.39 5.20 6.60
Marathonbet 1.33 4.60 6.60
Pinnacle 1.40 4.65 6.64
SBO 1.34 4.46 5.90
William Hill 1.40 4.33 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.34 ▲ +0.04
X 4.60 ▼ -0.40
2 6.50 ▼ -0.84

8 snapshots recorded, from .