Cambrian & Clydach
vs
Airbus UK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Airbus UK
1 – 3 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.30 vs 1.54.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK
| Probability | Cambrian & Clydach | Draw | Airbus UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.0% | 14.7% | 71.3% |
| Market | 33.8% | 24.7% | 41.6% |
| Final | 28.8% | 22.2% | 49.0% |
| Edge | -4.9% | -2.5% | +7.4% |
Why Airbus UK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.30 vs 1.54.
- The market prices Airbus UK below our published probability: +7.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +13.2% per unit staked (our 49.0% × 2.31 − 1).
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK match preview
Cambrian & Clydach face Airbus UK in the upcoming Wales Premier League match, with the model indicating a significant advantage for the visitors. Airbus UK holds a 71% probability of winning, while Cambrian & Clydach's chances stand at just 14%. The expected goals for Cambrian & Clydach are 1.54, compared to Airbus UK's 3.30, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Recent form shows Cambrian & Clydach with a mixed record of L-L-W-L-W-W, while Airbus UK has experienced some inconsistency with W-W-L-W-L-L. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-3, with an 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.84
Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK attack and defence ratings
Cambrian & Clydach
Airbus UK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Airbus UK | 49.0% | 2.04 | +7.4% | 2.31 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Airbus UK win | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambrian & Clydach | 28.8% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Airbus UK | 49.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 13.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.0% |
| No | 24.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Airbus UK win | 53.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 28.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.3% |
| 1-2 | 6.6% | |
| 1-4 | 6.0% |
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK stats
Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK recent form
| Cambrian & Clydach |
LLWLWW |
| Airbus UK |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK season so far
Cambrian & Clydach record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Airbus UK record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.8%, draw 24.7%, away 41.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.62 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 2.68 | 3.62 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68 | 3.67 | 2.31 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .